Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC, BCLC-staged)
HCC dossier (chronic, BCLC-staged). STEP 3 deepened (2026-05-16): design brief + research bundle authored (§5.5 items 1-2); §5.5.1 effect sizes wired (IMbrave150 atezo-bev OS HR ~0.58, median OS ~19.2 vs 13.4 mo; HIMALAYA STRIDE OS HR ~0.78; SHARP sorafenib OS 10.7 vs 7.9 mo HR ~0.69; resection/ablation 5-yr ~50-70%; transplant within Milan 5-yr ~70%); §5.5.2 Bayesian (LI-RADS 5 ~95-100% spec/PPV diagnostic without biopsy, AFP low-sensitivity conditional note, BCLC→treatment routing thresholds, Child-Pugh systemic-eligibility gate, gi.cirrhosis routing); INITIAL_WORKUP action panel.bmp→panel.renal reconciled to STEP-2 repoint. last_reconciled 2026-05-16 (AASLD 2023 / EASL 2018 / NCCN 2024 floor). Re-promoted SCAFFOLDED→PRODUCTION (design_brief present; all completeness tiers satisfied; verified via dossier:audit). RxCUIs pending research:rxnav drug-data commit.
Entry points (5)
- imagingSuspicious liver lesion on surveillance US (AASLD 2023 Singal)liver_lesion_surveillance
- lab_abnormalityElevated AFP >20 ng/mL in cirrhotic patient (AASLD 2023 Singal)afp_elevated
- imagingLiver mass on CT/MRI (incidental or surveillance recall)ct_mri_liver_mass
- problem_listKnown HCC on problem list (follow-up, staging, treatment response)hcc_known
- problem_listCirrhosis patient entering HCC surveillance program (AASLD 2023 Singal)cirrhosis_hcc_risk
Required inputs (17)
- agerequireddemographic • used at CONTEXTTreatment candidacy; BCLC performance status assessment (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- cirrhosis_etiologyrequiredhistory • used at CONTEXTHCC risk varies by etiology (HBV > HCV > MASH > alcohol); HBV can cause HCC without cirrhosis (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- child_pugh_classrequiredhistory • used at RISK_STRATIFICATIONChild-Pugh A/B/C determines treatment eligibility (BCLC algorithm) (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- ecog_psrequiredhistory • used at RISK_STRATIFICATIONECOG performance status is BCLC staging component (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- weightvital • used at TREATMENTSorafenib/lenvatinib dosing; nutritional status (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- afprequiredlab • used at INITIAL_WORKUPHCC surveillance biomarker; AFP >400 diagnostic; AFP response to treatment (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- total_bilirubinrequiredlab • used at INITIAL_WORKUPChild-Pugh component; liver function for treatment candidacy (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- albuminrequiredlab • used at INITIAL_WORKUPChild-Pugh component; nutritional status (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- inrrequiredlab • used at INITIAL_WORKUPChild-Pugh component; coagulopathy assessment (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- creatininerequiredlab • used at INITIAL_WORKUPMELD-Na for transplant prioritization; renal clearance for systemic therapy (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- plateletsrequiredlab • used at INITIAL_WORKUPPortal hypertension severity; thrombocytopenia impacts procedural risk (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- cbcrequiredlab • used at INITIAL_WORKUPBaseline for systemic therapy toxicity monitoring (NCCN 2024)
- multiphase_ct_or_mrirequiredimaging • used at INITIAL_WORKUPLI-RADS characterization: arterial hyperenhancement + washout + capsule appearance (AASLD 2023 Singal)
- chest_ctrequiredimaging • used at INITIAL_WORKUPStaging — exclude pulmonary metastases (NCCN 2024)
- bone_scanimaging • used at BRANCHING_WORKUPStaging — if bone pain or elevated ALP; exclude bone metastases (NCCN 2024)
- portal_vein_statusrequiredhistory • used at RISK_STRATIFICATIONPortal vein thrombosis/invasion is BCLC-C criterion; contraindicates TACE (AASLD 2023 Singal; EASL 2018)
- transplant_candidacyrequiredhistory • used at TREATMENTMilan criteria (single <=5cm or <=3 lesions each <=3cm) for transplant eligibility (AASLD 2023 Singal)
12-phase flow (12)
- 1FRAMEConfirm HCC scope: surveillance program entry vs new lesion workup vs known HCC staging/treatment (AASLD 2023 Singal)inputs: cirrhosis_etiologyadvance: pathway assigned: surveillance, diagnostic workup, or treatment planning
- 2ENTRYRecognize HCC trigger: surveillance US abnormality, elevated AFP, incidental liver mass, or known HCC follow-up (AASLD 2023 Singal)inputs: afpadvance: entry trigger confirmed
- 3CONTEXTCirrhosis etiology, Child-Pugh class, ECOG PS, prior HCC treatments, transplant listing status, comorbidities (AASLD 2023 Singal)inputs: age, cirrhosis_etiology, child_pugh_class, ecog_psadvance: clinical context captured
- 4RED_FLAGSTumor rupture (acute abdomen + hemodynamic instability), variceal bleed in setting of HCC, portal vein tumor thrombus with decompensation, rapidly progressive liver failure (AASLD 2023 Singal)inputs: portal_vein_statusadvance: acute complications excluded or escalated
- 5INITIAL_WORKUPAFP (limited sensitivity ~60% at >20 ng/mL — adjunct to imaging + surveillance trend, NOT standalone; a normal AFP does not lower HCC probability enough to stop imaging), LFTs (bilirubin, albumin, INR), CBC, renal panel, multiphase CT or MRI liver — LI-RADS 5 in a cirrhotic = ~95-100% specificity/PPV for HCC, diagnostic WITHOUT biopsy; chest CT for staging (AASLD HCC practice guidance PMID 29624699)inputs: afp, total_bilirubin, albumin, inr, creatinine, platelets, cbc, multiphase_ct_or_mri, chest_ctactions: panel.lft, panel.cbc, panel.renaladvance: LI-RADS category assigned and staging imaging complete
- 6BRANCHING_WORKUPLI-RADS 3 indeterminate = short-interval follow-up or alternative modality; LI-RADS 4-5 = probable/definite HCC; biopsy only if atypical imaging (non-cirrhotic, LR-M); bone scan if symptomatic; PET not standard (AASLD 2023 Singal)inputs: bone_scanactions: workup.abnormal_lftadvance: HCC diagnosis confirmed (LI-RADS 5) or alternative diagnosis established
- 7DIFFERENTIALHCC (LI-RADS 5) vs cholangiocarcinoma (LR-M wash-in without washout) vs metastatic disease vs hemangioma vs FNH vs dysplastic nodule (AASLD 2023 Singal)advance: diagnosis confirmed
- 8RISK_STRATIFICATIONBCLC staging (0/A/B/C/D) is the load-bearing routing variable: tumor burden, liver function (Child-Pugh — gates systemic eligibility; atezo-bev evidence is Child-Pugh A only), performance status (ECOG), portal vein invasion, extrahepatic spread. Treatment-routing thresholds: 0/A→curative (5-yr ~50-70%; transplant within Milan 5-yr ~70%); B→locoregional; C→systemic; D (Child-Pugh C/ECOG >2)→BSC (AASLD HCC practice guidance PMID 29624699)inputs: child_pugh_class, ecog_ps, portal_vein_statusactions: calc.meld3, calc.meld_naadvance: BCLC stage assigned and treatment candidacy determined
- 9TREATMENTBCLC-staged: 0/A = resection/ablation/transplant (curative). B = TACE/Y90. C = systemic 1L atezolizumab-bevacizumab (IMbrave150 Finn NEJM 2020 PMID 32402160 — OS HR ~0.58 vs sorafenib, median OS ~19.2 vs 13.4 mo; manage varices before bevacizumab) OR durvalumab-tremelimumab STRIDE if bevacizumab contraindicated (HIMALAYA Abou-Alfa NEJM Evid 2022 PMID 38319892 — OS HR ~0.78); TKI alternative sorafenib (SHARP Llovet NEJM 2008 PMID 18650514 — OS 10.7 vs 7.9 mo, HR ~0.69) or lenvatinib. D = best supportive care (AASLD HCC practice guidance)inputs: transplant_candidacy, weightadvance: treatment initiated or BSC plan documented
- 10DISPOSITIONOutpatient for surveillance and systemic therapy; inpatient for resection, TACE, Y90; multidisciplinary tumor board mandatory (AASLD 2023 Singal; NCCN 2024)advance: care setting assigned
- 11MONITORINGPost-treatment imaging (multiphase CT/MRI) per mRECIST at 1 mo then q3mo; AFP trend; systemic therapy toxicity monitoring (LFTs, TFTs for immunotherapy, proteinuria for bevacizumab); post-transplant immunosuppression and recurrence surveillance (AASLD 2023 Singal; NCCN 2024)inputs: afp, total_bilirubinadvance: monitoring cadence set
- 12FOLLOWUPMultidisciplinary tumor board review; transplant center coordination; palliative care integration for BCLC-D; survivorship if complete response; ongoing cirrhosis management (AASLD 2023 Singal)advance: follow-up scheduled